Just 27% want GOP to win control of NY State Senate

By Nathan Thomas at August 25, 2010 - 10:28am
Elections Analysis

Just 27% want GOP to win control of NY State Senate

New York Democrats have had to face a rocky economy and recession-induced budget shortfalls in their first few years as the majority party in the State Senate. But New York voters remember the previous 40 years of GOP control, and according to a new Siena College poll, only 27% of New York voters want to go back:

  • 33%: Want to see Democrats expand their State Senate majority

  • 34%: Prefer the status quo, in which Democrats hold a narrow edge
  • 27%: Want to see Republicans re-take a majority

This has to be unwelcome news for State Senate Republicans. Between the GOP infighting occurring up and down the ballot and the collapse of the Senate Republicans’ statewide campaign apparatus, Republican Senate candidates were depending on a hostile electorate to carry them over the top in key districts.

But that electorate, while clearly hostile to incumbents (only 31% plan to re-elect their incumbent Senator in a generic question), is not scapegoating Democrats for the state’s troubles. And with Republicans showing extreme weakness in every statewide contest tested in the Sienna poll, there are no coattails for GOP legislative candidates to ride.

The New York Senate is a top redistricting priority for the Democratic Party this cycle, because Democratic control of the chamber would give Democrats complete control of the redistricting process for both congressional and state legislative districts.

Democrats have not held a majority in both legislative chambers in New York during a redistricting year since 1910 - exactly 100 years ago. The only other time this has occurred (since the advent of the Republican Party as a competitor) was in 1870.

Thanks DLCC - this is a drum that we at the New York Senate Dems have been beating for months.

Not only is the polling unfavorable for Republicans this year, but we're fielding an unprecedented number of challengers to Republican incumbents this cycle.

TAP readers and DLCC supporters can learn about all our candidates - and how to help their campaigns - on our interactive NY Battleground Map.

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