Previewing Indiana

By Matt Compton at September 15, 2008 - 2:11pm
Elections Analysis

Previewing Indiana

Though I haven't seem them describe it as a series, it looks like the folks at Governing's Ballot Box blog are going to continue offering write-ups of the hotly-contested chambers in battleground states for the fall.

Today, Alan Greenblatt gives the Indiana House the horse race treatment:

Indiana Democrats are going to have a hard time defending their slim state House majority this year. They hold the chamber by the narrowest of margins -- 51-49 -- and Republican Gov. Mitch Daniels has opened up a big lead in his reelection campaign.

What's more, retirements in some conservative districts are likely to translate into Democratic losses. But Democrats have some pickup opportunities as well.

As Greenblatt notes, Republicans are cheered by the popularity of Gov. Mitch Daniels, while Democrats have an organizing advantage (focused on registering voters and turnout operations).

The bottom line?

When it comes to calling a chamber that has switched hands in each of the last two cycles, no one is willing to wager that either party will gain a certain and convincing margin.

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